Credit score: Microsoft

With a heartfelt nod to Monty Python, Home windows 7 would like you all to know that it can be not dead yet.

A 12 months immediately after Microsoft officially ended assist for its extended-operating OS, a little but determined inhabitants of Computer end users would instead combat than switch. How quite a few? No just one is aware of for guaranteed, but that selection has shrunk considerably in the earlier year.

On the eve of Microsoft’s Home windows 7 end-of-guidance milestone, I consulted some analytics gurus and calculated that the homeowners of roughly 200 million PCs around the globe would ignore that deadline and proceed managing their most well-liked OS. That was, admittedly, a tough estimate. (If you want to do the math on your own, go through my year-back post, “It truly is 2020: How a lot of PCs are still running Home windows 7?”)

Throughout the holiday getaway lull at the stop of 2020, I resolved to go again and run the most current version of these analytics studies. They convey to a consistent story.

Let’s commence with the United States Authorities Digital Analytics Software, which reports a operating, unfiltered overall of site visitors to U.S. web-sites more than the former 90 times. Just one of the datasets involves a report of visits from all PCs running any variation of Windows, which makes it an suitable proxy for this problem.

At the conclusion of December 2019, 75.8% of those people PCs were functioning Windows 10, 18.9% were nevertheless on Windows 7, and a mere 4.6% had been sticking with the unloved Home windows 8.x.

A calendar year later on, as December 2020 draws to a close, the proportion of PCs operating Home windows 10 has long gone up 12%, to 87.8% the Windows 7 rely has dropped by a lot more than 10 points, to 8.5%, and the inhabitants of Home windows 8.x holdouts has shrunk even additional, to a minuscule 3.4%. (The onetime winner of Personal computer running methods, Home windows XP, is now just about invisible, with its gadget depend introducing up to a portion of a rounding error.)

If my calculations a year in the past were on the mark, that means additional than 100 million Windows Computer have been retired, recycled, or upgraded in the earlier 12 months.

Other metrics inform a approximately identical tale.

At NetMarketShare, for instance, the figures at the stop of 2020 show Home windows 10 usage up 11 details, from 63.% to 74.%, whilst Home windows 9 usage dropped 9.5 details, from 31.2% to 21.7%.

Likewise, StatCounter World Stats showed the number of PCs functioning Windows 10 enhanced extra than 12 p.c, from 64.7% to 76.%, though the Home windows 7 Computer system population dropped nearly 10 factors to 17.7%.

Turning all those percentages into complete quantities is just not a make any difference of easy division, regretably, since we do not know the denominator. Microsoft has advised us for several years that the Windows consumer foundation is 1.5 billion, but I argued a calendar year in the past that the variety of Home windows PCs is likely a great deal decrease than that, even with a pandemic-induced resurgence in Pc income. Even allowing for that uncertainty, it is really crystal clear that at minimum 100 million PCs are even now functioning Home windows 7, and that selection could be drastically larger.

Some of those people holdouts are shelling out Microsoft for the privilege of receiving stability updates, though it is not apparent how several are part of the Prolonged Protection Update plan. And those customers will confront a lot more strain to upgrade in 2021 as the charge of those updates is established to double.